Confirmation bias—seeking and interpreting evidence partially so as to support one’s beliefs—is so destructive that it can render your analysis useless. And chances are, you are a victim of it. Raymond Nickerson, a psychology professor at Tufts University, found evidence of confirmation bias in a number of disciplines. (His 1998 […]
Gather information that help you discard hypotheses—not just information that is related to your problem.
Chris Froome’s astonishing performance in the 2013 TdF is a great case study to illustrate how to diagnose a complex problem using the principle of parsimony
Sometimes problems include some deception: the situation is made to appear like another. Is it the case with Froome’s win in the 2013 Tour de France?
A hypothesis map is a good way to test a hypothesis. Here is an application analyzing whether Chris Froome—the 2013 Tour de France winner—doped to win the race