Not all types of evidence are equally trustworthy. The higher the level, the more confidence you can have.
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Having identified a set of hypotheses—either diagnostic ones, the potential root causes of your problem, or solution ones, the potential options—you need to test them. To do so, you need to conduct tests that can help you rule out some…
Bazerman and Neale, in their excellent Negotiating rationally, cited Wason’s famed problem: Here is a three-number sequence: 2–4–6. Your task is to discover the numeric rule that produced these numbers. To determine the rule, you can generate other sets of three…