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# Tag: hypothesis testing | Powerful Problem Solving

The task is simple enough: I’ll give you three numbers, and you guess which rule I had in mind that applies to the set. Ready? 2 – 4 – 6 This is the initial step of Wason’s famous 1960 experiment. The…

Having identified a set of hypotheses—either diagnostic ones, the potential root causes of your problem, or solution ones, the potential options—you need to test them. To do so, you need to conduct tests that can help you rule out some…

Did Chris Froome dope to win the 2013 TdF? My opinion is that he did. Here is why. In our previous two posts (1 and 2), we talked about Froome’s dominant victory in the 2013 Tour de France to see if we…

Last week, we talked about how we can evaluate whether Chris Froome doped to win the 2013 Tour de France. Let’s retake the issue where we left it. Building the diagnostic map With our problem-solving approach, we use a diagnostic map…

If you went on any cycling-related forum around August 2013, you’d a raging controversy: Did Chris Froome dope to win the 2013 Tour de France? The arguments on both sides echo those that we’ve heard for all doping cases. Also…

In a previous post, we talked about the importance of looking for disconfirming evidence when testing hypotheses. Indeed, this is vital, but, in some situations, supporting evidence might actually be the one helping you reach a solid conclusion. So, don’t discard it….

Complex problems can have a lot of moving parts, and it is easy to lose track of some of those. This why our working memory is a strong limiter in resolving complex problems. One way to address this limitation is…

Bazerman and Neale, in their excellent Negotiating rationally, cited Wason’s famed problem: Here is a three-number sequence: 2–4–6. Your task is to discover the numeric rule that produced these numbers. To determine the rule, you can generate other sets of three…

“Assume you’re a scientist and you have a flea with six legs”, the joke goes, “that does what you ask him to do. “So, ask him to jump, and he jumps. Next, cut off two of his legs and ask…